Angels aim to reduce magic number in test with Yankees

Baseball Betting Lines

09/08/2008 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim attempt to reduce their magic number in the American League West tonight against a team they've handled well in recent years, the New York Yankees.

The Angels need any combination of three wins or losses by second-place Texas to wrap up their third AL West crown in the last four years. Mike Scioscia's club got a little closer to achieving that goal on Sunday, when Anaheim pulled out a 3-2 victory over Chicago at U.S. Cellular Field.

Garret Anderson's pinch-hit sacrifice fly in the top of the eighth snapped a 2-2 deadlock and enabled the Angels to avoid a three-game sweep to the AL Central-leading White Sox. Francisco Rodriguez tossed a scoreless ninth to record his 55th save of the season, two shy of the major league record set by the White Sox' Bobby Thigpen in 1990.

Joe Saunders (15-7) held Chicago to two runs on four hits over 7 1/3 sharp innings to halt a six-start losing streak.

The Angels return home to face a Yankees team they've beaten five times in seven tries this season and have dominated at home over the last few years. Since the start of the 2005 campaign, New York has gone just 4-12 at Angel Stadium in regular-season play.

The Yankees' main goal at the moment is to try to delay Anaheim's clinching of a playoff spot, since the Bronx Bombers' own postseason hopes are pretty much a pipe dream right now. After dropping two of three games at lowly Seattle over the weekend, New York now stands 8 1/2 games behind Boston in the AL wild card standings with 19 left to play.

In Sunday's 5-2 loss to the Mariners, Derek Jeter finished 2-for-3 with a solo home run to move into a tie with Babe Ruth for second place on the Yankees' all-time list with 2,518 hits. Xavier Nady also homered to account for New York's other run.

Yankees starter Mike Mussina (17-8) was dealt the loss after surrendering four runs on seven hits in six innings of work.

Carl Pavano gets the call for New York in the opener of this three-game series and makes his fourth start since a 16-month on the disabled list due to Tommy John surgery. The always-injured hurler has done well since his return, having posted a 2-0 record with a 4.20 earned run average over his three outings.

Pavano recorded back-to-back wins over Baltimore and Toronto to close out August but encountered some trouble in Wednesday's start at Tampa Bay. The right-hander was reached for three runs in just four innings and failed to get a decision in New York's 8-4 triumph.

The 32-year-old has won both his career matchups with Anaheim and yielded just four runs in 15 innings over that stretch. However, Pavano has not faced the Angels since April 26, 2005.

He'll go head-to-head tonight with the struggling Jon Garland. The Angels righty had a fourth straight start in which he surrendered five runs on Wednesday in Detroit, although he got a no-decision in his six-inning stint.

During that four-start stretch, Garland is 1-1 with a 7.03 ERA.

Garland did defeat New York at Yankee Stadium on July 31 with six innings of three-run ball. He is 4-5 with a 4.29 ERA in 10 career starts against the Yankees.

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MySportsbook.com : Fortune Favors Favorites in March Madness betting?

Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite.  Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight.  With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites.  As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).

Midwest

#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler

The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April.  Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT.  After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games.  Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season.  As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers.  Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS).  Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field.  With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.

#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV

As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year.  If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season.  As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well.  This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons.  Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late.  There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games.  It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.

East

#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown

“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season.  Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU.  They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games.  With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field.  Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense.  Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc.  The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range.  Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.

#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC

The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country.  Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times.  Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter.  UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen.  UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS.  An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games.  This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS.  USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types.  An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough.  USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS.  They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12.  When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.

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