Defensive blunder allows Royals to nip Tigers

Baseball Betting Lines

05/13/2008 - Kansas City, MO (Baseball Betting) - Zack Greinke threw six solid innings, Jose Guillen hit a two-run double, and the Kansas City Royals used a Detroit error to edge the Tigers, 3-2, in the opener of a three-game set.

Guillen finished the game with a pair of doubles, while Mark Grudzielanek went 3-for-4 for the Royals, who have won two in a row.

Greinke gave up two runs on nine hits, with a pair of strikeouts and walks each, in the no-decision. Leo Nunez (3-0) threw two-thirds of an inning in relief, while Joakim Soria -- who hasn't allowed a run in 15 1/3 innings this season -- earned his ninth save of the season.

Nate Robertson allowed two runs on 10 scattered hits in seven innings of work for Detroit, which has lost eight of 10. Francisco Cruceta (0-1) was credited with the loss after allowing an unearned run on two hits in the eighth inning.

Miguel Cabrera had two hits and two walks, while Matt Joyce hit a solo homer and Carlos Guillen hit an RBI double.

With the score tied in the bottom of the eighth, Grudzielanek grounded out to lead off, and Alex Gordon missed swinging on strike three. But Guillen stroked a double to left off Cruceta, and Esteban German entered the game as a pinch- runner.

After Cruceta gave Billy Butler a free pass, Mark Teahen hit the ball up the middle, just to the left of second base. Shortstop Edgar Renteria was able to range left and get to the ball, but his backhanded flip to Placido Polanco was off the mark, and German raced home to give the Royals a 3-2 edge.

Soria shut down Detroit in the ninth to end the game, by inducing three consecutive ground outs.

Detroit struck quickly in the first, as Carlos Guillen followed Polanco's single with a double to give his team a 1-0 edge.

Greinke worked out of that frame, but gave up another run in the second, when Joyce -- who hit his first major league homer on Saturday against the Yankees -- ripped a solo shot to deep center field.

Robertson ran into trouble in the third inning, after a Joey Gathright single and a fielder's choice that left David DeJesus on first. Grudzielanek followed with a single to put two men on with one out.

The Tigers' starter got Gordon to pop out and had a distinct chance to end the inning. But Jose Guillen smoked a double off the wall, just to the left of center, allowing both runners to cross home and tie the game at 2-2.

Game Notes

Teahen and John Buck each had two hits for the Royals...The Tigers left nine runners on base, while Kansas City stranded seven...Detroit has lost all four games against Kansas City so far this season; the Tigers were swept by the Royals at home to open the season.

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Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite.  Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight.  With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites.  As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).

Midwest

#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler

The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April.  Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT.  After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games.  Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season.  As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers.  Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS).  Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field.  With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.

#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV

As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year.  If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season.  As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well.  This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons.  Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late.  There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games.  It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.

East

#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown

“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season.  Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU.  They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games.  With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field.  Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense.  Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc.  The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range.  Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.

#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC

The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country.  Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times.  Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter.  UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen.  UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS.  An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games.  This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS.  USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types.  An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough.  USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS.  They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12.  When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.

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